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Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov

How the sports market is pricing "Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Completed Match 100% Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Game Spread +/-4.5 100% Volume: $141K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Game Spread +/-4.5100%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov0%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 Winner0%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 Winner0%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 21.50%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 22.50%
Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Vit Kopriva and Denis Shapovalov in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kopriv…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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