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US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley

How the sports market is pricing "US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner 92% US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley 70% US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner 58% Volume: $647K Liquidity: $4K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner92%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley70%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner58%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-2.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-2.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Game Spread +/-0.550%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 Winner49%
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 38.549%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open atp: martin landaluce vs jacob fearnley stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Jacob Fearnley in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

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