Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cruzeiro EC | 100% |
| SC Internacional | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
SC Internacional’s meeting with Cruzeiro EC in Brazil Série A was set for Wednesday 22 July 2026, and the crowd’s 0% YES price is hard to square with the teams’ longer-run profile, because this is not a fixture that typically behaves like a near-certainty for either side. FootyStats’ head-to-head page shows a tightly matched historical pairing, with underlying numbers close to even rather than one club dominating the other, which is the kind of backdrop that usually makes a 0% line vulnerable if the market has missed team news or rotation risk.[1]
For traders, the main catalysts are likely to be late squad updates, especially any confirmed absences in defence or attack and whether either coach is managing minutes around a congested calendar. In a match of this type, a single unavailable creator, first-choice centre-back, or goalkeeper can shift expected goals enough to matter more than the broader season record, so official team sheets and local beat reporting close to kick-off are the key dependency to watch. The absence of any widely cited pre-match injury or managerial bulletin in the available result set means the market may be pricing on incomplete information rather than on a settled edge.[1]
Sources: 1
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $270K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC on March Madness Predictions
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →