Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 97% |
| Spread -1.5 | 94% |
| Spread -2.5 | 92% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 52.5 | 90% |
| Spread -4.5 | 87% |
| Spread -6.5 | 86% |
| O/U 56.5 | 83% |
| O/U 57.5 | 78% |
| O/U 58.5 | 78% |
| O/U 59.5 | 73% |
| O/U 64.5 | 72% |
| Spread -10.5 | 72% |
| O/U 60.5 | 71% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| O/U 78.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Navy O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Braxton Woodson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Vic Listorti: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Barrow: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Leonard Farrow: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaden Shields-Dutton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Landon Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ethan Ervin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Easton Messer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caden Veltkamp: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kelby Valsin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dominique Henry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Branden Hoch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Hutchison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Antonio Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isaiah Bryant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Charles Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joshua Guerin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 48% |
| Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| Spread -13.5 | 36% |
| O/U 70.5 | 35% |
| O/U 76.5 | 18% |
| Spread -4.5 | 7% |
| Navy vs. Florida Atlantic | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -1.5 | 5% |
| Spread -2.5 | 5% |
| Spread -6.5 | 4% |
| Spread -7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -11.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Navy 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Navy 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Navy 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Navy 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Navy 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Navy 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Navy 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, navy vs. florida atlantic stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Navy and Florida Atlantic, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Navy" if Navy win the game. This mark…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $136K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Navy vs. Florida Atlantic. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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