Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread: Nebraska (-24.5) | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| Spread -23.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| O/U 65.5 | 100% |
| O/U 67.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| Nebraska O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| Anthony Colandrea: Anytime Touchdown | 91% |
| Mekhi Nelson: Anytime Touchdown | 91% |
| Jamal Rule: Anytime Touchdown | 91% |
| Kwazi Gilmer: Anytime Touchdown | 91% |
| Nick Poulos: Anytime Touchdown | 91% |
| Nebraska O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kwinten Ives: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Victor Rosa: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinn Clark: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cortez Mills Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keelan Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Max Rodarte: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isaiah Mozee: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Nyziah Hunter: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Duncan Brune: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Jacory Barney Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Luke Lindenmeyer: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Preston Bowman: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Eian Pugh: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Dom Dorwart: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| AJ Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Andrew Metzger: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Ohio vs. Nebraska | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of ohio vs. nebraska. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If Ohio wins, the market will resolve to "Ohio". If Nebraska wins, the market will resolve to "Nebra…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $77K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Ohio vs. Nebraska. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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