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Ohio State vs. Texas

Sports snapshot for "Ohio State vs. Texas" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

O/U 28.5 94% O/U 30.5 89% O/U 32.5 86% O/U 34.5 83% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Ohio State vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 28.594%
O/U 30.589%
O/U 32.586%
O/U 34.583%
O/U 36.580%
O/U 38.576%
Texas O/U 18.575%
Ohio State O/U 18.574%
Ohio State O/U 17.574%
Texas O/U 19.573%
O/U 40.572%
O/U 42.572%
Ohio State O/U 20.566%
O/U 44.563%
Texas O/U 21.563%
Ohio State O/U 21.562%
2Q O/U 7.562%
Texas O/U 22.561%
O/U 46.560%
O/U 47.557%
Texas O/U 2.556%
Bo Jackson: Anytime Touchdown56%
Ohio State O/U 23.556%
O/U 48.555%
2Q O/U 10.555%
O/U 49.553%
Spread -0.553%
Spread: Texas (-1.5)52%
2Q O/U 13.552%
Ohio State O/U 2.551%
Devin McCuin: Anytime Touchdown51%
Isaiah West: Anytime Touchdown51%
Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown51%
Texas 1H O/U 12.551%
2H O/U 18.551%
1Q O/U 4.551%
4Q O/U 7.551%
4Q O/U 13.551%
2H Moneyline50%
Chris Henry Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon Inniss: Anytime Touchdown50%
Derrek Cooper: Anytime Touchdown50%
Julian Sayin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Simon: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nate Roberts: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hunter Welcing: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyle Parker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nick Townsend: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brock Boyd: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Texas O/U 24.550%
Texas 1H O/U 10.550%
Texas 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 8.550%
Texas 1H O/U 9.550%
Texas 1H O/U 11.550%
Texas 1H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 10.550%
Texas 2H O/U 12.550%
Texas 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 9.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 13.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
Texas 2H O/U 11.550%
Texas 2H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 15.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 13.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 15.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
1H O/U 18.550%
1H O/U 21.550%
1H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
1Q O/U 7.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
O/U 50.549%
1H Moneyline49%
1Q Moneyline49%
Texas 1H O/U 15.549%
Texas O/U 25.549%
1H O/U 27.549%
4Q O/U 10.549%
Spread -2.548%
1H Spread -0.548%
Ohio State O/U 24.548%
2Q Spread -2.548%
4Q Spread -3.548%
Ohio State vs. Texas47%
1H Spread -1.547%
Spread -0.547%
1Q Spread -3.547%
3Q O/U 12.547%
1H Spread -2.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
3Q Spread -3.546%
4Q O/U 16.546%
1Q Spread -2.545%
Spread -1.545%
1H Spread -0.545%
1H O/U 30.545%
1Q O/U 10.545%
2Q O/U 16.545%
3Q Spread -3.545%
4Q Spread -0.544%
Ohio State O/U 26.544%
1Q Spread -3.544%
O/U 52.543%
2H Spread -1.543%
1Q Spread -0.543%
4Q Spread -0.543%
Spread -2.543%
1H Spread -1.543%
1Q O/U 13.543%
4Q O/U 19.543%
Spread -3.542%
2H Spread -2.542%
2Q Spread -1.542%
2Q Spread -2.542%
3Q Spread -2.542%
2H Spread -1.542%
4Q Spread -3.542%
3Q Spread -0.541%
4Q Spread -2.541%
Texas O/U 27.541%
4Q Spread -2.541%
3Q Spread -1.540%
4Q Spread -1.540%
2H Spread -2.540%
1Q Spread -2.539%
Ohio State O/U 3.539%
1H Spread -3.539%
2Q Spread -3.539%
2Q O/U 19.539%
O/U 54.538%
Ohio State O/U 27.538%
1Q O/U 16.538%
2Q Spread -3.538%
Spread -4.537%
Texas O/U 28.537%
Spread -3.537%
Spread -5.536%
2H Spread -3.536%
1H Spread -3.536%
O/U 56.535%
2H Spread -3.535%
Spread -6.533%
Texas O/U 30.532%
Ohio State O/U 29.532%
Spread -5.531%
Spread -4.531%
O/U 58.530%
2H Spread -5.530%
Jeremiah Smith: Anytime Touchdown29%
Ohio State O/U 30.528%
Spread -6.528%
Spread -7.527%
O/U 60.526%
Texas O/U 31.526%
Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown25%
Spread -9.525%
Spread -8.523%
Spread -34.523%
O/U 62.523%
Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown22%
Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown22%
Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown22%
Spread -10.521%
O/U 64.520%
Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown20%
Spread -8.518%
Spread -13.517%
Ja'Kobi Jackson: Anytime Touchdown17%
Spread -27.516%
Spread -11.516%
O/U 66.515%
Legend Bey: Anytime Touchdown15%
O/U 68.514%
Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown14%
Spread -12.514%
Spread -14.513%
Spread -24.513%
Spread -12.512%
Spread -16.511%
Spread -14.511%
Spread -31.510%
Spread -15.59%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -15.56%
Spread -18.56%
Spread -20.55%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -18.55%
Spread -19.55%
Spread -22.55%

Market context

Market consensus: 94% chance of ohio state vs. texas. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. Th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 28.5 at 94% for "Ohio State vs. Texas".

O/U 28.5 94% Other 6%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Ohio State vs. Texas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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