Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 29.5 | 95% |
| Spread -10.5 | 93% |
| Spread -13.5 | 91% |
| Spread -16.5 | 89% |
| Spread -14.5 | 88% |
| Spread -17.5 | 86% |
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| Spread -20.5 | 81% |
| Spread -21.5 | 80% |
| O/U 31.5 | 77% |
| O/U 33.5 | 77% |
| O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| O/U 41.5 | 75% |
| Spread -24.5 | 73% |
| O/U 39.5 | 73% |
| O/U 43.5 | 68% |
| Spread -23.5 | 68% |
| Spread -27.5 | 63% |
| O/U 45.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 63% |
| Spread -32.5 | 63% |
| Spread -25.5 | 63% |
| Spread -26.5 | 61% |
| O/U 47.5 | 58% |
| Spread -28.5 | 58% |
| Spread -29.5 | 57% |
| Spread -30.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 56% |
| O/U 48.5 | 55% |
| Spread -31.5 | 54% |
| O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| O/U 50.5 | 52% |
| Richmond O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Will Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Bailey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joshisa Trader: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davion Gause: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Preston Douglas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Vander Ploog: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keenan Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Victor Snow: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davion Dozier: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Provience: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sean Clarke: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quanye Veney: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashten Snelsire: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamaal Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| NC State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Richmond 1H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Richmond 1H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Richmond 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -47.5 | 50% |
| Spread -50.5 | 50% |
| Spread -54.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Richmond 2H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Richmond 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Richmond 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| Spread -48.5 | 49% |
| Spread -33.5 | 46% |
| O/U 55.5 | 45% |
| Spread -36.5 | 45% |
| O/U 57.5 | 43% |
| Spread -35.5 | 43% |
| O/U 53.5 | 41% |
| Spread -41.5 | 40% |
| Spread -38.5 | 39% |
| Spread -39.5 | 39% |
| O/U 61.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| Spread -34.5 | 34% |
| Spread -42.5 | 34% |
| Spread -44.5 | 33% |
| O/U 63.5 | 32% |
| Spread -51.5 | 31% |
| Spread -37.5 | 30% |
| O/U 67.5 | 29% |
| O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Spread -40.5 | 26% |
| O/U 59.5 | 23% |
| O/U 65.5 | 14% |
| Richmond vs. NC State | 3% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to richmond vs. nc state. In the upcoming college football game between Richmond and NC State, scheduled for September 11 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Richmond" if Richmond win the game. This market will resolve …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $171K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Richmond vs. NC State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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