Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Shandong Taishan FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Henan FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Shandong Taishan FC and Henan FC meet in the Chinese Super League with the market still showing **0% YES**, which usually implies either a highly specific sub-market or one where no credible signal has yet moved the price. Historical head-to-head context points to a fixture that has often been competitive rather than one-sided: the listed H2H record on FootyStats shows both clubs have long played close enough matches that outcomes and goal counts can swing on selection and team news rather than simple league position[1].
For traders, the main catalysts are late lineup announcements, any confirmed rotation, and whether either side is missing a first-choice centre-back, goalkeeper, or striker. In a market framed around “More Markets”, the most relevant dependency is likely the line-up card rather than broader season form, because those ancillary markets tend to be driven by whether the match opens up or stays low event. No beat-reporter update was available in the supplied results, so the key watchpoint is the official team sheet and any pre-match injury or suspension news before the 11:35 UTC settlement window closes[1].
Sources: 1
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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