Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit | 100% |
| The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit - Completed match? | 55% |
| The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
The men’s match at Headingley pits Sunrisers Leeds against London Spirit in a fixture that has tended to lean towards the stronger batting side and the home advantage. Recent head-to-head results are mixed but generally tight: Sunrisers beat Spirit by eight wickets in 2025, while Spirit have also won their own close meetings in past seasons, so a one-sided crowd price of 100% for a home win needs to be read against a history of competitive, low-margin games rather than routine dominance.[7][16]
The current table context also matters. Sunrisers have been described in preview coverage as sitting around the middle-to-upper part of the standings with two wins from four, while Spirit have had a poorer start with only one win from four and a negative net run rate, which leaves them needing a stronger finish to stay in touch with the knockout places.[3][8][14] That said, the most recent same-day women’s game at Headingley was decided by five wickets after Sunrisers chased down 136, underlining how quickly conditions and the toss can shape scoring at this venue.[1][2]
For traders, the main catalysts are team news, late injury updates, and whether either side rotates after a short turnaround in the double-header schedule. Beat reporting from the earlier women’s match highlighted Annabel Sutherland’s all-round impact for Sunrisers, while preview pieces for the men’s game point to Zak Crawley, Harry Brook, Liam Livingstone, Jamie Overton and the bowling attacks as the key personnel whose availability and form can move the market most sharply.[1][3][14] Anything affecting batting depth, powerplay intent, or death-overs bowling is especially relevant in a format where weather interruptions, revised targets, or a Super Over can still decide settlement.[7]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $108K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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