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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 100% Volume: $677K Liquidity: $615K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: lgd gaming vs og (bo2) - esports world cup group d. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and OG in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 8 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD G…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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