When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Ho… | Marchmadnessbracketpredictions 2026

Name: Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs
Start: 2026-08-11T03:10:56.000Z
End: 2026-08-11T18:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	See live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	See live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	See live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	See live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Game 1 Winner	100%
Game 2 Winner	100%
Match Winner	100%
Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs No Hoodwink (+1.5)	100%
Any Player Ultra Kill	100%
Any Player Rampage	100%
Ends in Daytime	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Any Player Rampage	50%
O/U 2.5 Games	0%
Ends in Daytime	0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	0%
Any Player Ultra Kill	0%
Any Player Rampage	0%
Ends in Daytime	0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	0%
Game Handicap: NH (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)	0%

Market context

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Spirit Academy and No Hoodwink in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 8:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?: Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?: Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?: Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?: Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?: This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editorand

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard… on March Madness Predictions

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Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard… on March Madness Predictions

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