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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Match Winner 68% Game 1 Winner 62% Game 2 Winner 62% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 56% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $91K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner68%
Game 1 Winner62%
Game 2 Winner62%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?56%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Any Player Rampage49%
Any Player Rampage49%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)37%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 68% YES probability for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B. This market refers to the Dota 2 Winner match between Team Spirit and 1win in the BLAST Slam Group B, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spiri…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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