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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Sports snapshot for "Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Match Winner 77% Game 1 Winner 68% Game 2 Winner 68% First Blood in Game 2? 54% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $428K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner77%
Game 1 Winner68%
Game 2 Winner68%
First Blood in Game 2?54%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?50%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)49%
O/U 2.5 Games41%
Both Teams Beat Roshan33%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks33%
Both Teams Beat Roshan32%
Both Teams Beat Roshan32%
Any Player Rampage32%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Any Player Ultra Kill23%
Any Player Ultra Kill23%
Any Player Rampage12%
Any Player Rampage11%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 77% YES probability for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between TEAM VISION and Team Yandex in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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