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Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón

How the sports market is pricing "Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

CD Castellón 100% Real Sociedad de Fútbol B 0% Draw 0% Volume: $68K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
CD Castellón100%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B0%
Draw0%

Market context

Real Sociedad B host CD Castellón in the opening round at Zubieta, with the official fixture listed for Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:30 UTC and the match already marked as played in live feeds, which is a reminder that a zero-per-cent crowd price can be skewed by timing as much as by team strength.[1][13] The market framing should lean on Castellón’s stronger pre-match position and their head-to-head edge in available previews, while Real Sociedad B’s reserve-team profile usually makes them more volatile from one week to the next.[4][15]

Comparable cases in Segunda División often hinge less on name recognition than on early-season continuity: the side with the settled spine, clearer minutes load and fewer late squad changes tends to carry the first-week edge, especially against a B team that can be reshaped by first-team call-ups.[13][15] That makes a 0% YES price easier to read as a market signal against the selected settlement window than as a clean statement that the away side cannot win.[4]

The main catalysts to watch are late squad lists, any first-team integration news from San Sebastián, and whether Castellón confirm a stable travelling group after the summer reset.[2][3] Match listings also point to Eder Mallo Fernández as referee, and any pre-kick-off changes to venue details or start time would matter because this fixture has appeared across several databases with slightly different ground naming and timing formats.[1][5][13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices CD Castellón at 100% for "Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón".

CD Castellón 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $68K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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