Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Emam Ashour: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Emam Ashour: 3+ shots | 100% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots on target | 82% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ shots on target | 78% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ goals + assists | 77% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shots | 69% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals + assists | 60% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals + assists | 52% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Mo Touré: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Maty Ryan: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Maty Ryan: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Maty Ryan: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Maty Ryan: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Mohamed El Shenawy: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mo Touré: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tete Yengi: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Trezeguet: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Emam Ashour: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Mo Touré: 1+ shots | 49% |
| Mo Touré: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Mo Touré: 4+ shots | 49% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 3+ shots | 49% |
| Tete Yengi: 4+ shots | 49% |
| Emam Ashour: 4+ shots | 48% |
| Mohamed Salah: 4+ shots | 48% |
| Mohamed Salah: 5+ shots | 48% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 4+ shots | 48% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 5+ shots | 48% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ assists | 27% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ shots | 25% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ shots | 25% |
| Mo Touré: 1+ assists | 25% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 1+ assists | 24% |
| Tete Yengi: 1+ assists | 24% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots | 20% |
| Emam Ashour: 1+ assists | 20% |
| Omar Marmoush: 4+ shots | 15% |
| Omar Marmoush: 5+ shots | 15% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Mo Touré: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Tete Yengi: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 2+ shots | 5% |
| Tete Yengi: 2+ shots | 4% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Mo Touré: 1+ goals | 2% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 1+ assists | 2% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ assists | 2% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 1+ goals | 1% |
| Emam Ashour: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Mo Touré: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Mo Touré: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Nestory Irankunda: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Nishan Velupillay: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Omar Marmoush: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Tete Yengi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Tete Yengi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Tete Yengi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Trezeguet: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Trezeguet: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Trezeguet: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Omar Marmoush: 2+ assists | 0% |
Market context
The Australia vs. Egypt - Player Props prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Australia and Egypt, scheduled for July 3 at 2:00 PM ET.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Australia vs. Egypt - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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