Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
11% | 89% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
11% | 89% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Jordan 0 - 1 Argentina | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina | 16% YES | 85% NO |
| Jordan 2 - 0 Argentina | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Jordan 1 - 2 Argentina | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Jordan 3 - 0 Argentina | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jordan 2 - 2 Argentina | 2% YES | 98% NO |
Market context
The upcoming FIFA World Cup Group J clash between Jordan and Argentina at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, is set to begin at 10:00 PM ET on 27 June 2026, with the market resolving solely on the 90-minute result. Jordan enter this fixture on a seven-match winless run, having lost their last four consecutively while scoring just five goals and conceding 11 across their last five outings[1]. In stark contrast, Argentina have won all five of their recent matches, netting 15 goals without conceding a single one, including a 2-0 victory over Austria where Lionel Messi scored twice[1].
Historical precedents for such a disparity in form often see the dominant side securing a multi-goal margin, with the current 11% probability for an exact score reflecting the market’s caution against a potential upset or a narrow affair[1]. Comparable cases in World Cup history where a team with a perfect defensive record faces a side on a losing streak typically result in scores like 3-0 or 4-0, yet the 11% figure suggests traders are pricing in the possibility of Jordan’s balanced 3-4-3 structure limiting the gap[1].
Traders must monitor the yellow card status of Jordan’s Husam Abu Dahab and Argentina’s Medina, both carrying caution marks that could alter defensive line-ups if they accumulate further fouls[1]. Scaloni’s squad remains fully available with no injury concerns, while Sellami’s team is motivated to bounce back from their narrow defeat to Algeria[1]. The settlement window closes at 02:00:00Z on 28 June 2026, meaning any postponement will keep the market open until completion, but cancellation without a make-up date would void the bet[1].
Methodology
This page reviews Jordan vs. Argentina - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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