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CF Cruz Azul vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

"CF Cruz Azul vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5 100% CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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CF Cruz Azul vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5100%
CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)0%
Philadelphia Union (-1.5)0%
CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)0%
Philadelphia Union (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.50%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.50%
Philadelphia Union O/U 0.50%
Philadelphia Union O/U 1.50%
Philadelphia Union O/U 2.50%
CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
CF Cruz Azul 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
CF Cruz Azul 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Cruz Azul’s Leagues Cup opener against Philadelphia Union is the kind of fixture where the live price can move quickly if team sheets confirm a first-choice XI or if either side rotates ahead of the rest of Phase One. The market’s 0% YES implies little confidence that additional in-match or adjacent “more markets” angles will be settled in Cruz Azul’s favour, but the underlying game has already shown how tightly the sides are matched: they drew 1-1 in 2024 and Cruz Azul advanced on penalties, while LeaguesCup.com’s preview again framed the meeting as a close contest between two clubs arriving in good recent form.[2][4][16]

The historical case is useful because it points to low-margin football rather than a one-sided setup. Cruz Azul came in unbeaten across five matches in the 2026 preview, having allowed just one goal, while Philadelphia had won three straight after ending a long winless run, which is the sort of form profile that often produces cautious first halves and pricing sensitivity around the first goal.[16] LeaguesCup.com also noted Cruz Azul were reigning Concacaf Champions Cup winners and that Philadelphia had reached the Leagues Cup semi-finals in both previous appearances, reinforcing that both teams have recent knockout-level experience rather than a clear class gap.[2]

For traders, the main catalysts are official line-up releases, late injury news, and any confirmation of rest plans before the next group-stage fixtures, since Philadelphia’s schedule already had Necaxa and Santos Laguna lined up after Cruz Azul.[7] If either coach trims minutes for key creators or centre-backs, the read on “more markets” changes materially because this matchup has tended to stay within a goal and depend on late phases, set pieces, and penalties rather than open play separation.[4][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for CF Cruz Azul vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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