LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend face Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Quarterfinal 2 of the Esports World Cup Playoffs, a match set for 7:00AM ET on 17 July. The 73% YES probability reflects a stark disparity in recent form and global standing: Anyone’s Legend have won four of their last five matches and sit ranked #1 in the Strafe LoL World Rankings, while Karmine Corp have won only two of their last five and are ranked #15 [1]. This regional gap between the LPL and LEC has consistently favoured Chinese sides in cross-regional play, making the current pricing aligned with historical outcomes where top-tier LPL teams dominate mid-tier LEC entrants in BO3s [2].

Traders should monitor any pre-match roster announcements or coaching changes, as Karmine Corp’s lower win rate suggests vulnerability to in-game adjustments, while Anyone’s Legend’s positive performance curve over the past six months (68% win rate) indicates stability [4]. The match begins today, so delays beyond seven days or cancellations would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a risk heightened by the tournament’s live-streaming dependency on DAZN, which hosts all broadcasts [3]. No key absences have been reported yet, but any late squad changes could shift the implied probability, particularly if Karmine Corp introduce a new strategist to counter Anyone’s Legend’s aggressive macro play.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.