Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Ga… | Marchmadnessbracketpredictions 2026

Name: LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Start: 2026-08-13T20:30:38.000Z
End: 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	79%	21%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	See live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	79%	21%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	See live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	See live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	See live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	79%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	77%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?	59%
Any Player Penta Kill	58%
Any Player Quadra Kill	57%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	53%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
First Blood in Game 2?	49%
First Blood in Game 1?	49%
O/U 2.5 Games	47%
Game 2 Winner	41%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?	41%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?	41%
Game 1 Winner	40%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	39%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)	38%
Match Winner	35%
Any Player Quadra Kill	28%
Any Player Quadra Kill	28%
Any Player Penta Kill	26%
Any Player Penta Kill	26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	14%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	8%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	8%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 79% probability to lol: top esports vs bilibili gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" i…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?: Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?: Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?: Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?: Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?: This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editorand

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Grou… on March Madness Predictions

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Grou… on March Madness Predictions

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