Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Club Tijuana (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Tijuana O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Tijuana O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Club Tijuana O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Tigres de la UANL O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Tijuana 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Club Tijuana 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Tijuana 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Tigres de la UANL 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tigres de la UANL (-1.5) | 0% |
| Club Tijuana (-2.5) | 0% |
| Tigres de la UANL (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Club Tijuana 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tigres de la UANL 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Tigres de la UANL 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tigres de la UANL 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Club Tijuana defeated Tigres de la UANL 1–0 in their Liga MX fixture at Estadio Caliente on 17 July 2026, a result that fully resolves the “More Markets” prediction market with a 100% YES settlement [1]. The match, scheduled for 11:00 PM ET on 16 July, concluded with a single goal securing the win for the home side, confirming all additional market outcomes tied to this game have been settled in favour of the YES position.
Historically, Liga MX “more markets” tied to single-match ancillary outcomes—such as total goals, handicaps, or corner counts—rarely reach 100% certainty before final whistle unless the primary result is already confirmed and no unresolved sub-markets remain. In comparable cases where a match ends with a decisive scoreline and no pending overtime or penalty phases, ancillary markets settle immediately, mirroring this market’s trajectory where the 1–0 outcome left no ambiguity on secondary conditions [1].
Traders should monitor official Liga MX post-match confirmations and 365Scores’ match summary for any delayed adjustments to ancillary stats like Asian handicap or total-goals thresholds, though the 1–0 scoreline already satisfies the “More than 1.5 goals” exclusion and confirms the handicap result [1]. No coaching changes, key absences, or schedule dependencies remain relevant post-settlement, as the game has concluded and the settlement window closed at 03:00 UTC on 17 July.
Sources: 1
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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