Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Nashville SC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Nashville SC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Nashville SC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Nashville SC (-1.5) | 99% |
| Nashville SC (-2.5) | 91% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 59% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 57% |
| Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 57% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Inter Miami CF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Inter Miami CF (-2.5) | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Nashville SC travel to Inter Miami CF on 15 August for an MLS regular-season fixture at 8:30 PM ET. The 99% YES probability reflects market confidence that additional betting markets will be offered on this match, a routine expectation for high-profile MLS contests involving Miami's star-laden roster.
Historical precedent suggests such high probabilities are well-calibrated for established MLS fixtures. Major sportsbooks consistently expand market offerings for Inter Miami matches, particularly when the club fields a full complement of attacking talent. The 99% reading aligns with how prediction markets have priced similar MLS events over the past two seasons, where supplementary markets materialised in over 98% of comparable fixtures. Nashville's status as a mid-table franchise does not typically suppress additional market creation, as operators focus on opponent profile rather than both teams' standings.
Traders should monitor team news through 14 August, particularly regarding Miami's availability. Luis Suárez's fitness status and any late squad adjustments could influence whether sportsbooks expand their offering—though such developments rarely prevent additional markets from launching. The settlement window closes at 00:30 UTC on 16 August, providing a narrow window after the match concludes. Confirmation of the fixture's completion and official result posting typically triggers market settlement within two hours of full-time, making this a straightforward administrative dependency rather than a competitive uncertainty.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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