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New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC - More Markets

How the sports market is pricing "New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC - More Markets" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

New England Revolution (-1.5) 0% Toronto FC (-1.5) 0% New England Revolution (-2.5) 0% Toronto FC (-2.5) 0% Volume: $97K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
New England Revolution (-1.5)0%
Toronto FC (-1.5)0%
New England Revolution (-2.5)0%
Toronto FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 0.50%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
New England Revolution O/U 0.50%
New England Revolution O/U 1.50%
New England Revolution O/U 2.50%
Toronto FC O/U 0.50%
Toronto FC O/U 1.50%
Toronto FC O/U 2.50%
New England Revolution 1st Half O/U 0.50%
New England Revolution 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
New England Revolution 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
New England Revolution 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

New England Revolution’s home meeting with Toronto FC sits in a market where the crowd is pricing **0% YES** for “More Markets”, so the historical lens matters: these MLS fixtures have recently been decided on narrow margins rather than runaway volatility. New England beat Toronto 2-0 in May 2025, while the reverse fixture in September 2025 finished 1-1, suggesting a pattern of modest scoring and outcomes that can hinge on a single tactical swing or late substitution rather than a dramatic statistical outlier.[5][3]

For traders, the key catalysts are line-up news, rest management and any late tactical reshuffle before kick-off. Toronto arrived at the July 22 match with an 8-2-5 record and 26 points listed on ESPN’s live match page, indicating a side that had been competitive enough to keep markets alive even when results were not dominant.[2] The most important watchpoints are whether either club rotates heavily on a short turnaround, whether a first-choice striker or centre-back is ruled out, and whether the pre-match pricing on goal volume or first-half markets moves sharply; the Fox Sports box score showed a 2.5-goal total anchored at -145, which is consistent with the market expecting a fairly contained game rather than an open one.[4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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