Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Club Alianza Lima 2 - 1 CS Huancayo | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima 0 - 0 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 0 - 1 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 1 - 0 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 0 - 2 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 1 - 1 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 2 - 0 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 0 - 3 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 1 - 2 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 3 - 0 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 1 - 3 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 2 - 2 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 3 - 1 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 2 - 3 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 3 - 2 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 3 - 3 CS Huancayo | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
Club Alianza Lima face CS Huancayo in a Peru Liga 1 fixture scheduled for 19 July 2026, with the market on the exact score currently implying zero probability for any listed outcome. Historical data shows Alianza Lima dominate this pairing, having won 16 of 33 meetings while scoring 49 goals to Huancayo’s 36, with 11 draws [4]. Recent form reinforces this disparity: Alianza Lima have recorded 12 wins, four draws and just one loss in their last 17 matches, whereas Huancayo have failed to win any of their last nine away games in the Primera División [4][5]. The 0% YES probability likely reflects the market’s expectation that the final score will fall outside the explicitly listed options, given Alianza’s strong home record—seven wins at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva—and Huancayo’s chronic away struggles [5].
Traders should monitor pre-match announcements for key absences, particularly in Alianza’s attacking line, and any late coaching adjustments that could alter goal-scoring patterns. Although no specific injury reports are available in current coverage, Huancayo’s poor away form suggests they may concede multiple goals, increasing the likelihood of scores such as 2–0, 3–1 or 4–1, which may not be listed outcomes [5]. The match is set for 8:00 PM ET on 19 July, and if postponed, the market remains open until completion [original prompt]. No recent news from beat reporters has emerged regarding squad changes, but the absence of such updates may itself signal stability in both teams’ line-ups ahead of kick-off.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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