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CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia

How the sports market is pricing "CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Draw 100% CR Vasco da Gama 0% Club Olimpia 0% Volume: $158K Liquidity: $447K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Draw100%
CR Vasco da Gama0%
Club Olimpia0%

Market context

CR Vasco da Gama met Club Olimpia in the Copa Sudamericana on 13 August 2026, and the market has already been settled against a Vasco win after the match finished 0-0[9][11]. The pricing backdrop matters because the sides had already split their 2026 tie once each: Vasco beat Olimpia 3-0 in Rio on 30 April, then lost 3-1 away on 20 May, so a draw in the second-leg context was not an outlandish game state even if the market’s 0% YES implied a near-certain non-event before kick-off[4][10].

For traders, the main read-through is form rather than pedigree. Vasco arrived on a mixed but broadly competitive run, with a 0-0 draw at Bahia on 9 August, a 3-1 aggregate win over Fluminense in the Copa do Brasil, and a narrow Sudamericana playoff win over Independiente Medellín in late July[11]. Olimpia’s recent results in the available feed are less complete, but the head-to-head split and the away-home pattern from the earlier meetings suggest this pairing can swing sharply on venue and squad availability[3][12]. The most relevant late catalysts were team sheets, any coaching or rotation calls after the Brazilian cup tie, and whether either side managed key attacking absences or minute-management concerns ahead of the knockout window[11][15].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Draw at 100% for "CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia".

Draw 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $158K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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