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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen - Exact Score

How the sports market is pricing "Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen - Exact Score" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Any Other Score 100% Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 0 FC St. Gallen 0% Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 1 FC St. Gallen 0% Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 FC St. Gallen 0% Volume: $138K Liquidity: $271K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 0 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 1 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 2 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 1 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 3 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 2 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 1 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 0 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 3 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 2 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 3 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 FC St. Gallen0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 FC St. Gallen0%

Market context

Benfica and St. Gallen meet again after the Swiss side’s 2-1 first-leg win in St Gallen last week, a result that already tells traders the scoreline range is not being set by reputation alone. Benfica had more of the ball and more shots in that game, but St. Gallen were efficient enough to take the advantage, which is the main reason a 0% implied probability on a very specific exact score can still be read as a reflection of market scepticism rather than certainty about match flow.[5][10]

For historical framing, Benfica’s recent results have generally sat in the 2-1 to 4-1 band, while St. Gallen’s have also been relatively open, with both clubs producing regular goals at either end in domestic and European play.[1][6][8] There is no meaningful head-to-head history to anchor exact-score pricing, so the more useful comparison is style and recent scoring patterns: both teams have shown enough attacking output to make “Any Other Score” the most likely bucket unless the game state turns unusually one-sided or unusually tight.[3][6][9]

The key catalysts are team news and selection rather than competition context. Benfica’s official match coverage confirms the first-leg defeat and the return leg is the decisive dependency, so late changes to the XI, any rotation, or injury news before kick-off matter more than broad form.[10] For St. Gallen, the immediate watchpoint is whether they preserve the same structure that produced the first-leg upset; for Benfica, the market will likely reprice quickly if they score early or if pre-match reporting indicates a stronger attacking line-up than in the opener.[5][10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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