Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Beşiktaş JK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| FC Hradec Králové (-1.5) | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové (-2.5) | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
FC Hradec Králové host Beşiktaş in the first leg of this Europa League qualifier, with the match listed for 6 August at Malsovická arena in Hradec Králové. UEFA’s line-up page shows David Horejš as Hradec’s coach, while match listings consistently place kick-off at 17:00 UTC. [1][2][6]
The 0% crowd price on “YES” is best read as a thin-market outlier rather than a true statement that the market is impossible to resolve; comparable early-stage qualifier prices can move sharply once line-ups, injuries and travel rotations are confirmed. Hradec come in after beating Tromsø 3-1 on aggregate in the previous round, which at least gives them a recent European benchmark, while the clubs have no recorded head-to-head history in the available previews. [9][16]
For traders, the main catalysts are the official team sheets, any late injury confirmation and whether Beşiktaş rotate after a European away trip. FotMob lists Hradec defender Tomáš Petrášek as unavailable and Beşiktaş with no absences, but that status can change before kick-off. If Hradec keep a settled XI and Beşiktaş field a stronger-than-expected side, the pricing on secondary “more markets” such as cards, corners or both teams to score can re-rate quickly. [16][8]
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK - More Markets on March Madness Predictions
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →