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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

How the sports market is pricing "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $306K Liquidity: $547K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)100%
Match Winner96%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5)10%
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs Paper Rex (+5.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kar…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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