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Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx

"Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 98% Kayla McBride: Points O/U 14.5 98% O/U 178.5 95% O/U 179.5 93% Volume: $337K Liquidity: $743K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.598%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 14.598%
O/U 178.595%
O/U 179.593%
Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 3.585%
Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.572%
Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.565%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.557%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 15.551%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 19.550%
Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.550%
Spread -6.547%
Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.545%
Spread -5.544%
Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.538%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx36%
Spread -7.528%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 19.526%
Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 12.517%
Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 13.51%
Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 10.51%
Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.51%
Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 11.51%
Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 14.51%
Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 11.50%

Market context

The Minnesota Lynx host the Dallas Wings, with the market’s 36% YES price implying Dallas are the underdog despite an already competitive season and a recent road win over Minnesota. The matchup has swung both ways in 2026: the Lynx edged Dallas 90-86 on 14 May, Dallas answered with an 85-77 victory on 28 June, and Minnesota then won more comfortably in the rematch, 100-76, on 9 June; that sequence supports treating the current price as a weaker-team entry against the conference leader rather than a true coin flip.[1][9][12]

For traders, the main catalysts are team-news items rather than broad league context: any late injury report, rest decision or minute restriction matters more because the Lynx have played like a top seed while Dallas have been more volatile over their recent run of results.[8][9] The Wings’ recent form has included losses to Golden State, Washington and Atlanta, while Minnesota has alternated between strong offensive outings and a heavier defeat at the hands of the Sparks, so the market can move quickly if either side rules out a primary scorer or ball-handler close to tip-off.[8] The game is scheduled for 3:30pm ET, and because overtime counts, a tight regulation game still resolves to the eventual winner rather than a draw.[1][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 at 98% for "Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx".

Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 98% Other 2%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $337K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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