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LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

"LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 64% Volume: $183K Liquidity: $317K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Match Winner57%
Game 1 Winner56%
Game 2 Winner56%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor33%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor33%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors32%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors32%
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)32%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)22%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 66% YES probability for LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between FlyQuest and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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