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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

"LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 85% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 85% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 59% Volume: $58K Liquidity: $136K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon85%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon85%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?59%
Match Winner54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Game 1 Winner52%
Game 2 Winner52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?33%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)24%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%

Market context

The LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 85% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 16 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Mo…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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