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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

How the sports market is pricing "LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Match Winner 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Game 1 Winner 66% Volume: $68K Liquidity: $502K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Game 1 Winner66%
Game 2 Winner66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?58%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
First Blood in Game 2?53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?47%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)44%
O/U 2.5 Games43%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?43%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors15%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 73% probability to lol: movistar koi vs team vitality (bo3) - lec regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Team Vitality in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movi…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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