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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

"LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 62% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 61% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 56% Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? 55% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $582K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?55%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Game 1 Winner48%
Game 2 Winner47%
Match Winner47%
First Blood in Game 2?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)31%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor25%
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)23%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors6%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors6%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 62% probability to lol: weibo gaming vs ninjas in pyjamas (bo3) - lpl group nirvana. This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 13 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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