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Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals

"Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

NRFI 100% O/U 7.5 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $263K Liquidity: $121K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
O/U 7.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5100%
Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5100%
Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5100%
Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.5100%
Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.5100%
Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.5100%
Kansas City Royals O/U 1.5100%
Kansas City Royals O/U 2.5100%
Kansas City Royals O/U 3.5100%
Kansas City Royals O/U 4.5100%
O/U 8.5100%
O/U 9.5100%
O/U 10.5100%
O/U 11.5100%
O/U 12.585%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals84%
O/U 13.581%
Kansas City Royals O/U 5.579%
Spread -1.568%
O/U 14.565%
Spread -2.548%
O/U 15.548%
O/U 16.536%
Spread -3.531%
Extra Innings14%
Spread -1.56%
Spread -2.52%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.51%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cleveland guardians vs. kansas city royals stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 25 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $263K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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