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Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves

How the sports market is pricing "Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 62% O/U 7.5 56% NRFI 49% Volume: $110K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.576%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.562%
O/U 7.556%
NRFI49%
O/U 8.549%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.549%
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves47%
O/U 9.539%
Spread -1.537%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.536%
Spread -1.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.528%
Spread -2.527%
Spread -2.525%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves — current market-implied probability: 76%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 5 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 76% for "Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $110K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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