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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

How the sports market is pricing "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

NRFI 100% O/U 8.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $630K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
O/U 8.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5100%
New York Mets O/U 2.5100%
New York Mets O/U 3.5100%
New York Mets O/U 4.5100%
New York Mets O/U 5.5100%
Washington Nationals O/U 1.5100%
Washington Nationals O/U 2.5100%
Washington Nationals O/U 3.5100%
Washington Nationals O/U 4.5100%
Washington Nationals O/U 5.5100%
O/U 7.5100%
O/U 9.5100%
O/U 10.5100%
O/U 11.5100%
O/U 12.5100%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals0%
Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
Extra Innings0%
New York Mets O/U 6.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
O/U 13.50%
O/U 14.50%
O/U 15.50%
Spread -3.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, new york mets vs. washington nationals stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 25 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York M…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $630K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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