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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

Sports snapshot for "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Washington Nationals O/U 1.5 89% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% Washington Nationals O/U 2.5 71% New York Mets O/U 2.5 70% Volume: $117K Liquidity: $819K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Washington Nationals O/U 1.589%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.578%
Washington Nationals O/U 2.571%
New York Mets O/U 2.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
New York Mets O/U 3.559%
Washington Nationals O/U 3.556%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals50%
NRFI50%
O/U 8.549%
New York Mets O/U 4.546%
Washington Nationals O/U 4.542%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.540%
Spread -1.539%
O/U 9.539%
New York Mets O/U 5.535%
Spread -1.533%
O/U 10.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.531%
Washington Nationals O/U 5.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
Spread -2.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.528%
New York Mets O/U 6.526%
Spread -2.524%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 89% YES probability for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 26 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. T…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Washington Nationals O/U 1.5 at 89% for "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals".

Washington Nationals O/U 1.5 89% Other 11%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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