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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Sports snapshot for "St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

O/U 9.5 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $444K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 9.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5100%
Extra Innings100%
O/U 8.5100%
O/U 7.5100%
O/U 6.5100%
O/U 11.5100%
O/U 10.5100%
O/U 12.5100%
O/U 13.5100%
O/U 14.5100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks0%
NRFI0%
Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
O/U 15.50%
O/U 16.50%
O/U 17.50%

Market context

The St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for July 19 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 9.5 at 100% for "St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks".

O/U 9.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $444K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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