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Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?

How the sports market is pricing "Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Shakira 99% Coldplay 99% Justin Bieber 99% BTS 99% Volume: $517K Liquidity: $331K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Shakira99%
Coldplay99%
Justin Bieber99%
BTS99%
Burna Boy98%
Sabrina Carpenter12%
Drake7%
Maluma7%
Tems7%
Camila Cabello6%
Bad Bunny5%
Lady Gaga5%
Jennifer Lopez5%
Wizkid5%
J Balvin4%
Dua Lipa4%
Cardi B4%
Adele4%
The Weeknd3%
Rauw Alejandro3%
Post Malone3%
Travis Scott3%
Peso Pluma3%
Calvin Harris3%
Rihanna2%
Taylor Swift2%
Karol G2%
Ed Sheeran2%
Rosalía2%
Bruno Mars2%
Billie Eilish2%
Ariana Grande2%
Daddy Yankee2%
Jay-Z2%
Olivia Rodrigo2%
Charli XCX2%
Nicki Minaj2%
Sam Smith2%
Feid2%
Davido2%
David Guetta2%
Beyoncé1%
Pitbull1%
Kendrick Lamar1%
Eminem1%
Harry Styles1%
Chappell Roan1%
SZA1%
Myke Towers1%
Anuel AA1%
Ozuna0%

Market context

Market consensus: 99% chance of who will perform at world cup halftime show?. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced b…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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