When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor… | Marchmadnessbracketpredictions 2026

Name: UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Start: 2026-05-18T03:35:29.959Z
End: 2026-07-12T03:59:59.999Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	70%	30%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	See live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	70%	30%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	See live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	See live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	See live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 0.5 Rounds	70%
Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor	65%
Holloway to win by KO/TKO?	53%
Fight won by KO/TKO?	53%
O/U 1.5 Rounds	51%
O/U 3.5 Rounds	45%
O/U 4.5 Rounds	41%
O/U 2.5 Rounds	32%
McGregor to win by KO/TKO?	30%
Fight to Go the Distance?	29%
Fight won by submission?	12%

Market context

Market consensus: 70% chance of ufc 329: max holloway vs. conor mcgregor (welterweight, main card). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 70% for "UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $495K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?: Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?: Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?: Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?: Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?: This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editorand

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweig… on March Madness Predictions

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweig… on March Madness Predictions

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