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UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

"UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 73% O/U 1.5 Rounds 66% Fight to Go the Distance? 62% Fight won by decision? 62% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $118K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds73%
O/U 1.5 Rounds66%
Fight to Go the Distance?62%
Fight won by decision?62%
Decision or Draw62%
O/U 2.5 Rounds61%
Fight won by KO/TKO?32%
Ends before Round 3?32%
Demopoulos in Round 127%
Demopoulos in Round 227%
Demopoulos in Round 327%
Jauregui in Round 127%
Jauregui in Round 227%
Jauregui in Round 327%
Demopoulos to win by KO/TKO?25%
Fight won by submission?25%
Jauregui to win by KO/TKO?23%
Ends before Round 2?18%
Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui13%

Market context

UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) — current market-implied probability: 73%. This market will resolve to "Vanessa Demopoulos" if Vanessa Demopoulos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Yazmin Jauregui at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 73% for "UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 73% Other 27%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $88K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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