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Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg - More Markets

How the sports market is pricing "Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg - More Markets" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $323K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Bulgaria O/U 0.5100%
Luxembourg O/U 0.5100%
Luxembourg O/U 1.5100%
Bulgaria 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Bulgaria (-1.5)0%
Luxembourg (-1.5)0%
Bulgaria (-2.5)0%
Luxembourg (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Bulgaria O/U 1.50%
Bulgaria O/U 2.50%
Luxembourg O/U 2.50%
Bulgaria 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Bulgaria (-3.5)0%
Luxembourg (-3.5)0%
Bulgaria (-4.5)0%
Luxembourg (-4.5)0%
Bulgaria (-5.5)0%
Luxembourg (-5.5)0%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Bulgaria O/U 3.50%
Bulgaria O/U 4.50%
Bulgaria O/U 5.50%
Luxembourg O/U 3.50%
Luxembourg O/U 4.50%
Luxembourg O/U 5.50%
Bulgaria 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Bulgaria 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 3.50%
2nd Half O/U 3.50%
2nd Half O/U 4.50%
Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 3.50%
Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 3.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, bulgaria vs. luxembourg - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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