🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogSee live odds →

Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Sports snapshot for "Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $591K Liquidity: $390K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs MIBR (+8.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs MIBR (+4.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs MIBR (+5.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs MIBR (+7.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs MIBR (+9.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: nrg vs mibr (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between NRG and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 18 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "N…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 G… on March Madness Predictions

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →