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Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Sports snapshot for "Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 69% Cameron Brink: Points O/U 7.5 61% Rae Burrell: Assists O/U 2.5 58% Ariel Atkins: Assists O/U 2.5 54% Volume: $108K Liquidity: $587K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.569%
Cameron Brink: Points O/U 7.561%
Rae Burrell: Assists O/U 2.558%
Ariel Atkins: Assists O/U 2.554%
Dearica Hamby: Assists O/U 2.551%
O/U 176.550%
Spread -1.549%
Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.549%
Ariel Atkins: Points O/U 10.549%
Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.549%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks48%
Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.548%
Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.548%
Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.548%
O/U 177.547%
Spread -2.546%
O/U 178.545%
Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 14.542%
Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 10.542%
Cameron Brink: Points O/U 8.542%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.541%
Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 7.540%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.540%
Cameron Brink: Rebounds O/U 4.539%
Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 3.537%
Ariel Atkins: Rebounds O/U 3.533%
Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 9.525%

Market context

Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks — current market-implied probability: 69%. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 22 at 3:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 at 69% for "Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks".

Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 69% Other 31%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $108K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks on March Madness Predictions

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