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Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi

How the sports market is pricing "Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Completed Match 100% Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $680K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi0%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 1 Winner0%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Match O/U 21.50%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 2 Winner0%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Match O/U 22.50%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Match O/U 23.50%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

The Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Rebeka Masarova and Francesca Curmi in the Contrexeville, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rebeka Masaro…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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