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National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina

Sports snapshot for "National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 72% National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.5 66% National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina 56% National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner 55% Volume: $113K Liquidity: $532K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.572%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.566%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina56%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner55%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.555%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.555%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner54%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 22.549%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 23.544%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set Handicap +/-1.534%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.534%
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 10.526%

Market context

The National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina prediction market currently prices this outcome at 72% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiate…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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