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San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout

How the sports market is pricing "San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 1 Winner 100% San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 8.5 91% San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 9.5 91% San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 10.5 91% Volume: $189K Liquidity: $33K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 1 Winner100%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 8.591%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 9.591%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 10.591%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout53%
Completed Match50%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 Winner50%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Match O/U 21.550%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Match O/U 22.550%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Match O/U 23.550%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set Handicap +/-1.550%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Game Spread +/-0.550%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 1 O/U 8.50%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 1 O/U 9.50%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 1 O/U 10.50%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to san diego 2: tristan boyer vs timo legout. This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Timo Legout in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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