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Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer

How the sports market is pricing "Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer 100% Completed Match 100% Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 Winner 100% Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $128K Closes: 23 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer100%
Completed Match100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 Winner100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 Winner100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 21.5100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 22.5100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Game Spread +/-2.5100%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, maia: matej dodig vs tristan boyer stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Tristan Boyer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mat…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
and

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