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Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin

"Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 8.5 91% Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 Winner 54% Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin 53% Completed Match 50% Volume: $113K Liquidity: $49K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 8.591%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 Winner54%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin53%
Completed Match50%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 Winner50%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Match O/U 21.550%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Match O/U 22.550%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Match O/U 23.550%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Game Spread +/-0.550%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin Set Handicap +/-1.525%

Market context

The Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin prediction market currently prices this outcome at 91% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Quentin Halys and Roman Safiullin in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Quentin …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Hangzhou Open: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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