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Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

How the sports market is pricing "Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 75% Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 73% Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 61% Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5 60% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $276K Closes: 6 Oct 2026
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Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.575%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.573%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.561%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.560%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina56%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner56%
Completed Match54%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner54%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.546%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.543%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.536%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to chengdu open: hubert hurkacz vs alejandro davidovich fokina. This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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