Lexington: Andre Ilagan vs Edas Butvilas

Platform comparison

Market context

Andre Ilagan and Edas Butvilas are due to meet in Lexington on outdoor hard courts, with the head-to-head currently favouring Ilagan 1-0 after his straight-sets win over Butvilas in Tyler in June 2026.[2][11] That earlier result matters because it came on the same surface and, by the available match pages, both players are closely matched in ranking band and have spent much of 2026 in Challenger-level events rather than the ATP main tour.[2][3] Butvilas has the more volatile recent run in the head-to-head datasets, while Ilagan’s form line has been steadier across the season, which is one reason the market’s 0% YES price can look detached from the underlying tennis record.[1][3]

For traders, the main catalysts are not tactical but operational: whether the match actually starts on time, whether the Lexington order of play holds, and whether either player carries through after any scheduling disruption. Sofascore listed the match for 17:00 UTC at Stadium 1, while the market description places it as originally scheduled for 9 August; if the event is postponed beyond the seven-day window without a winner, the contract goes 50-50 rather than resolving to either player.[2][13] The only reliable live dependency here is the official draw and match completion, because a walkover, retirement after the first point, or cancellation changes the settlement path more than any pre-match form note.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Lexington: Andre Ilagan vs Edas Butvilas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.